Bola Tinubu, the All Progressives Congress (APC) presidential candidate, is widely expected to win the upcoming election.
Tinubu would win outright in seventeen states, according to a new presidential pre-election opinion poll done by the Nigerian Human Rights Community (NHRC).
The survey was conducted in January, according to NHRC Secretary General Taiwo Adeleye, who spoke at a media event in Lagos on Wednesday.
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According to Adeleye, 7,940 (41%) of those polled in the 774 Local Government Areas (LGAs) of the 36 states and the Federal Capital Territory (FCT) wanted Tinubu to be the next President.
He revealed that 5,035 people (26%) supported Atiku Abubakar of the Peoples Democratic Party (PDP), 4,067 people (21%) supported Peter Obi of the Labour Party (LP), and 1,743 people (9%) supported Rabiu Kwankwaso of the New Nigeria Peoples Party (NNPP).
Tinubu was expected to win in Lagos, Ogun, Oyo, Osun, Ondo, Ekiti, Cross River, Kwara, Kogi, Nasarawa, Niger, Kaduna, Zamfara, Jigawa, Borno, Yobe, and Gombe states, according to Adeleye.
According to the poll, Tinubu will receive at least 25% of the vote in Imo, Ebonyi, Edo, Benue, Plateau, FCT, Kano, Katsina, Kebbi, Sokoto, Adamawa, Bauchi, and Taraba.
While Atiku is likely to win in seven states, including Adamawa, Taraba, Sokoto, Edo, Akwa Ibom, Bayelsa, and Delta.
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Kwankwaso is likely to win just in his home state of Kano, whereas Obi is expected to win in Anambra, Enugu, Imo, Ebonyi, Abia, Benue, and Rivers.
He said: “The NHRC poll revealed that the presidential candidate of the All Progressives Congress (APC), Bola Ahmed Tinubu, holds a magnificent lead and is on course to win the 2023 general election.
“The poll also confirms a two-horse race for the second position between Atiku Abubakar of the Peoples Democratic Party and Peter Obi of the Labour Party, while Rabiu Kwankwaso of the NNPP came a distant fourth, as all other contestants together scored an insignificant total.”
Adeleye also listed Tinubu’s advantage to include his Islamic background, as well as support from APC governors.
He added: “He holds a slight advantage in Kaduna where Peter Obi and Atiku Abubakar are jostling for the second position.
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“Muslim men and women of Yoruba extract favour his candidacy while he also has the backing of the majority of Muslims in the north.
“It is expected that he comfortably leads in Cross River state as a result of the broad-based voter support the Cross River state governor has within this state.
“He has considerable support in states where the incumbent governor is a member of the APC.”
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